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Prognostic Reliability of the Hawkins Sign in Fractures of the Talus.

·J Orthop Trauma·2007·104 citations·Trauma
DOI·PubMed
SummaryAbstract on PubMed →

This retrospective study of 41 operatively treated displaced talar fractures evaluates whether the Hawkins sign reliably predicts or excludes avascular necrosis of the talus. The core question: can you trust a positive Hawkins sign to rule out AVN, and does a negative sign predict it?

Key Findings

  • The Hawkins sign achieved 100% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value for ruling out AVN — every patient who developed AVN had a negative sign, and no patient with a positive or partially positive sign developed AVN.
  • A negative Hawkins sign does NOT confirm AVN is coming. 11 of 16 patients with a negative sign never developed AVN, giving a specificity of only 57.7%. A negative sign is not actionable on its own.
  • The sign appears on AP radiograph between weeks 6 and 9 after injury. It is seldom visible on lateral views because the malleoli overlap the talar dome. Check the AP specifically.
  • A partially positive Hawkins sign also excluded AVN in all cases in this series, indicating residual talar blood supply even with focal injury. Partial positivity should be treated as reassuring.
  • AVN patients had poor functional outcomes: mean AOFAS score of 47/100, compared with mean function subscores of 39/50 and pain subscores of 31/40 in the overall cohort. AVN translates directly into disability.
Board PearlA positive Hawkins sign at 6–9 weeks on AP radiograph has 100% sensitivity for ruling out talar AVN after displaced talar fracture.

Clinical Relevance

Every talar fracture patient you follow deserves a dedicated AP radiograph at 6–9 weeks specifically to look for the Hawkins sign. This is not a routine check-in film — it is the only plain-radiograph window to assess talar viability before AVN becomes diagnosable at 6–8 months.

When you see a positive or partially positive Hawkins sign, you can confidently reassure the patient: AVN is not coming. The 100% negative predictive value means a positive sign is a true rule-out.

When the sign is absent at week 9, do not conclude AVN is inevitable. Obtain MRI only if the patient is symptomatic or radiographs suggest structural change. Do not image early, because the sign may still be developing before week 9.

The Hawkins sign is a board classic: it was first described in the same 1970 paper that introduced the Hawkins classification of talar neck fractures. Knowing both. The classification (Types I–IV by dislocation pattern) and the sign (subchondral radiolucency = viability). From the same landmark paper is high-yield for the OITE.

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|

Prognostic Reliability of the Hawkins Sign in Fractures of the Talus.

·J Orthop Trauma·2007·104 citations·Trauma
DOI·PubMed
SummaryAbstract on PubMed →

This retrospective study of 41 operatively treated displaced talar fractures evaluates whether the Hawkins sign reliably predicts or excludes avascular necrosis of the talus. The core question: can you trust a positive Hawkins sign to rule out AVN, and does a negative sign predict it?

Key Findings

  • The Hawkins sign achieved 100% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value for ruling out AVN — every patient who developed AVN had a negative sign, and no patient with a positive or partially positive sign developed AVN.
  • A negative Hawkins sign does NOT confirm AVN is coming. 11 of 16 patients with a negative sign never developed AVN, giving a specificity of only 57.7%. A negative sign is not actionable on its own.
  • The sign appears on AP radiograph between weeks 6 and 9 after injury. It is seldom visible on lateral views because the malleoli overlap the talar dome. Check the AP specifically.
  • A partially positive Hawkins sign also excluded AVN in all cases in this series, indicating residual talar blood supply even with focal injury. Partial positivity should be treated as reassuring.
  • AVN patients had poor functional outcomes: mean AOFAS score of 47/100, compared with mean function subscores of 39/50 and pain subscores of 31/40 in the overall cohort. AVN translates directly into disability.
Board PearlA positive Hawkins sign at 6–9 weeks on AP radiograph has 100% sensitivity for ruling out talar AVN after displaced talar fracture.

Clinical Relevance

Every talar fracture patient you follow deserves a dedicated AP radiograph at 6–9 weeks specifically to look for the Hawkins sign. This is not a routine check-in film — it is the only plain-radiograph window to assess talar viability before AVN becomes diagnosable at 6–8 months.

When you see a positive or partially positive Hawkins sign, you can confidently reassure the patient: AVN is not coming. The 100% negative predictive value means a positive sign is a true rule-out.

When the sign is absent at week 9, do not conclude AVN is inevitable. Obtain MRI only if the patient is symptomatic or radiographs suggest structural change. Do not image early, because the sign may still be developing before week 9.

The Hawkins sign is a board classic: it was first described in the same 1970 paper that introduced the Hawkins classification of talar neck fractures. Knowing both. The classification (Types I–IV by dislocation pattern) and the sign (subchondral radiolucency = viability). From the same landmark paper is high-yield for the OITE.

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